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Nowcast

A running estimate of real GDP growth using incoming monthly releases and transparent component contributions.

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Quarterly percent change (SAAR)

Evolution of Real GDP Estimate

Solid line: nowcast path. Dashed line: prior-quarter BEA real GDP anchor.

Subcomponent Contributions

These contributions are not SAAR-converted and will not exactly match the headline GDP estimate.

Changes in Contributions

Each bar is the point change from the previous update day.

Recent Release-Day Updates

DateUpdate TriggerNowcastChange